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New Zealand shares fell 30 points or 0.2%, to 13,247 in Thursday morning session, erasing the prior day’s gains as weakness in consumer non-durables, utilities, and transport weighed on the market. Sentiment turned cautious after Wall Street's Dow Jones slipped Wednesday ahead of the key U.S. CPI release later today, seen as the final signal for the Fed’s policy move next week. In China, New Zealand’s top trading partner, deflation pressures persisted, with August consumer prices falling at the sharpest pace in six months while producer prices extended their decline for the 35th month, albeit at a slower rate. Domestically, traders awaited August PMI data due Friday amid concerns over weak demand and tariff uncertainty. Losses were partly offset by stronger tourist arrivals in July, lifted by seasonal factors and school holidays. Notable decliners included T&G Global (-2.0%), Fonterra Co-op (-1.5%), Spark NZ (-1.2%), and Scales Corp (-0.9%).

Stocks in New Zealand Down Slightly

US natural gas futures fell about 3% to  $3/MMBtu, hitting a one-week low amid weaker flows to LNG export plants, forecasts for lower demand next week, and ample gas supplies in storage. Average gas output in the Lower 48 states has declined to 107.4 bcfd in September from a record 108.3 bcfd in August, with daily output on track to fall to a two-month low of 106.3 bcfd due to declines in Pennsylvania and West Virginia. Record output earlier this year allowed companies to inject more gas into storage, which is currently about 6% above normal for this time of year. Meteorologists forecast warmer-than-normal weather through at least September 25, limiting heating demand and offsetting the usual seasonal increase. LNG exports have also eased, with flows to the eight largest US LNG plants falling to 15.6 bcfd in September from 15.8 bcfd in August, and daily feedgas on track for a three-week low.

US Natgas Falls on Cooling Demand

The Ibovespa gained 0.5% to close at 142.349 on Wednesday, supported by banks and commodity giants as markets assessed inflation data and political turmoil. The headline annual inflation rate eased to 5.13%, slightly above expectations of 5.1% and still well above the central bank’s 4.5% target, with services and core components limiting the extent of deflation. Meanwhile, the STF’s First Panel resumed the trial of former President Bolsonaro’s attempted coup case, with Justice Luiz Fux diverging from earlier votes by questioning the court’s jurisdiction, raising speculation the ruling could be annulled. On the corporate front, Banco do Brasil surged 3.1%, leading gains among major banks, while Petrobras (2.5%), Vale (0.7%), Ambev (0.7%), WEG (1.1%), and BRF (3%) also advanced.

Ibovespa Near Record High

US stocks rose to fresh records on Wednesday, supported by cooler inflation data and a strong Oracle forecast. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% and the Nasdaq 100 finished slightly higher, both closing at records highs, while the Dow dropped 213 points on weakness in Apple. August’s Producer Price Index fell 0.1% versus expectations for a 0.3% gain, marking its first monthly drop in four months, while the annual PPI came in at 2.6%, below the 3.3% forecast, bolstering hopes that Thursday’s CPI report will confirm the disinflation trend. Tech stocks led the gains as Oracle’s stock surged 35.9% after the company unveiled a massive jump in cloud bookings from AI demand, lifting Nvidia (3.8%) and AMD (2.4%), while Apple dropped 3.2% after its new iPhone 17 launch underwhelmed. The inflation surprise, coupled with soft labor market data, fueled bets the Fed could cut rates by 50 basis points next week instead of the expected quarter-point move.

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