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The FTSE MIB edged toward 48,000 on Wednesday, trimming some of the previous session’s losses, as markets assessed President Trump’s announcement that he would extend the ceasefire with Iran. The statement came just before its expiration to allow time for peace talks. He also signaled that no new strikes were planned, although the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would remain in place. Meanwhile, investors continued to parse fresh corporate earnings. Moncler reported a 12% rise in Q1 revenue in results released late Tuesday, though the index still opened over 1% lower. Saipem climbed more than 2% after posting higher profits in Q1, but cautioned that the closure of Hormuz clouded the outlook. Other notable gainers included Eni (+1.5%), Prysmian (+2.3%), Tenaris (+1%), and STMicroelectronics (+1.5%).

FTSE MIB Inches Higher

Bank Indonesia (BI) kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the seventh straight month at 4.75% at its April 2026 policy meeting, in line with market expectations and aimed at supporting the rupiah and economic growth. The rupiah weakened to Rp17,140 per US dollar on April 16, 2026, a 0.87% decline from end-March levels, as escalating Middle East tensions triggered capital outflows from emerging markets. Meanwhile, BI expects inflation to remain within its 2026–2027 target range of 2.5% ±1%. The annual inflation rate slowed to a three-month low of 3.48% in March 2026 from 4.76% in February, within the central bank’s 1.5%–3.5% target range. Despite global headwinds, the central bank maintained its economic growth forecast of 4.9%–5.7% for 2026. Indonesia’s GDP expanded 5.39% yoy in Q4 2025, accelerating from 5.04% in Q3 and marking the strongest growth since Q3 2022. The central bank also left its overnight deposit facility rate at 3.75% and its lending facility rate at 5.50%.

Indonesia Holds Rates Steady to Support Rupiah

Aluminum futures in the UK rose above $3,570 per tonne, moving back near a more than four-year high as the continued blockage of the Strait of Hormuz threatens a prolonged disruption to Middle Eastern supply. The key waterway remained closed, with Iran stating it will not reopen the shipping route while the US maintains its own blockade on vessels traveling to and from Tehran. The Persian Gulf accounts for roughly 9% of global primary aluminum. Beyond restricting shipping flows, the conflict has also directly affected production capacity. Major refineries in the UAE and Bahrain were damaged after being struck by Iranian attacks. Analysts warned that regional supply constraints could persist for months even if hostilities end and Hormuz reopens, as restoring damaged smelting and refining facilities is expected to take considerable time. Emirates Global Aluminium, the region’s largest producer, said it may take at least a year to fully restore output.

Aluminum Prices Move Back Near 4-Year Highs

The FTSE 100 Index is falling 8 points. Losses were driven by Reckitt Benckiser (-6.50%), JD Sports Fashion (-4.01%) and Auto Trader (-2.93%). Biggest rises came from Fresnillo (1.84%), Rio Tinto (1.45%) and Antofagasta (1.27%).

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